There's a sentence on our stats hub that does more work than it looks like it does:
Nothing here is a projection; it is what already happened.
That distinction is the whole organising principle. Most sports sites blur forecasts and history together until you can't tell which number is a record and which is somebody's guess — and once they're mixed, you can't audit either.
So they're separate rooms. The stats hub is the receipts. The Projection Board is the forecast, and it gets graded against these numbers afterwards.
Four leagues, one front door — three seasons deep for football, graded nightly for baseball.
Football: The Deepest Vault
The NFL hub runs back to 2023, and depth is the point. One season tells you what happened; three tell you whether it's who they are. A defense shredded by tight ends three years running has a structural problem it did not fix over the summer. One bad year is usually two injuries and a rough month.
Team side: team stats by position, offense, defense, and the Red Zone Report — scoring percentage and trips per game, offense and defense. Splitting volume from efficiency is what makes it useful: elite trips plus a mediocre scoring rate is an under waiting to happen.
Defense vs position, because you never start a defense — you start a position: vs QB (including rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks), vs RB (receptions split from rushing — the PPR swing total run defense hides), vs WR and vs TE.
Player side: the leaders index, plus receiving, rushing, red zone and goal line — the board that finds touchdown vultures, because scores follow inside-5 carries and that's a job a staff assigns rather than a talent a player has.
And the boards nobody else publishes: explosive plays allowed and turnover stats.
Baseball: Graded Nightly
Baseball gets a different treatment because the season is different — 162 games means the receipts pile up fast and stay current.
The hit-rate board shows every prop's real rate over the last 5, 10 and 20 in traffic-light colour, graded off our own nightly ledger rather than a model. The unders board catches lines hung above what a hitter is actually producing — and books shade toward the over because the public loves the over, which quietly makes the under the value side.
The MLB verdict slate carries the call on every game with the running record attached.
Basketball And Hockey
The NBA hub — nine boards, each on its own page. The one that matters most is minutes: every counting stat in basketball is downstream of how long the coach leaves a man out there, and NBA rotations move considerably faster than rankings do. Plus scoring and the rest.
The NHL hub — and shots on goal is the most reliable prop in the sport, because volume is a role and finishing is a percentage. A man firing six pucks a night keeps firing six whether they're going in or not.
Trends, Streaks And Hit Rates
Team streaks shows live win, ATS and over/under runs — with every number counted against a line we posted first, which is the difference between a fact and a claim. Streak stats elsewhere are frequently assembled after the fact from whichever closing number makes the run look longest.
The ATS board ranks all 32 with the rank right next to the team. And the thing most people get backwards: a long cover streak means a team has been underpriced, not that it's good — which usually means the market has already adjusted and the number you get now is worse than the one people got five weeks ago.
Line Check is the manual version and the most direct tool on the site: type a player and a number — 63.5 receiving yards, 249.5 passing — and see how many games would have cleared it, with the log underneath.
The Context No Box Score Carries
The Weather Book joins 6,511 games to the hourly weather at the stadium, and a split only publishes if it holds over ten-plus games and sits twenty points off that team's own win rate — a test that kills the most common fake weather stat, a bad team losing in the cold.
The Surface Book splits every player by turf and grass with the sample size attached. Schedule Spots reads rest edges and traps against 25 years, and every game has its own page.
Player cards carry completion zones, run gaps, YAC and snap share, and team pages carry the roster, depth chart, injuries and schedule.
Why Every Season Gets Its Own Page
You can link it — "the 2024 rushing leaders" is an address you can send or cite, and a dropdown state never will be. It loads instantly because it's pre-built. And search engines index pages, not dropdown selections.
Turn Receipts Into Decisions
Import your team and the Roster Doctor grades every man you own off these exact boards. Start or Sit for close calls, the Mismatch Machine for the collisions, the December Board for the weeks that decide leagues.
Betting instead? The Projection Board, the +EV finder, the Parlay Doctor and the Money Room. Every call we make is stamped the next morning on the ledger.
The Honest Part
History describes what happened, not what will. Rosters turn over, coordinators leave, and a leaderboard from 2023 is a photograph rather than a forecast.
The reason to keep those two things in separate rooms is that you should always know which one you're reading.
Open the Sports Stats Hub → Four leagues, free, no account.
