🚦 The Hit-Rate Traffic Board

What this room is: every player prop's real hit rate — last 5, 10 and 20 games, in color — next to tonight's line and the best price on it. Graded off our nightly ledger: results with receipts, not projections. Green is hot, red is cold, and the coin flips announce themselves.

70%+ hot60–69%45–59% coin flip<45% cold
🚦 Grading the board against the ledger…

Why hit rates beat projections

A projection is an opinion about the future. A hit rate is a record of the past — how many times, in real games, this player actually cleared this number. When a book hangs Over 1.5 total bases on a hitter who's cleared it in 9 of his last 10, the color tells you before the math does.

Every rate here comes from our own graded ledger: each night's posted lines checked against the real box scores after the games end. No models, no vibes — receipts. Tap any player through to his full card for the complete history, splits and live prices. Pair it with the Positive EV finder (is the price wrong?) and the Streak Board (who's running hottest right now?) and you're reading the market with both eyes open.