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MLB Playoff Picture: The Rays And Brewers Clinch, The Padres Pass Arizona, And Two Wild Card Races With Two Weeks Left

By FantasyDailies · September 14, 2026

The first two clinches of the season landed this week. The RaysRays and BrewersBrewers are in. Everyone else is still fighting, and in the National League the last spot changed hands.


Full standings through Sunday, division by division. Our call on every game tonight is on the verdict slate, and MLB Tonight has the slate in the order the night actually happens.




AMERICAN LEAGUE


AL EAST


#TEAMW-LGB1RaysRays CLINCHED90-59—2YankeesYankees86-634.03Red SoxRed Sox82-688.54Blue JaysBlue Jays75-7515.55OriolesOrioles72-7818.5

The RaysRays clinched a playoff berth at 90-59 with the best record in the league. The division is not yet locked — the YankeesYankees at 86-63 are four back — but the first-round bye is close to secured. The Red SoxRed Sox at 82-68 are comfortably in the second wild card.


The Blue JaysBlue Jays are 75-75 and sit one game outside the last spot, and they've run out of margin. The OriolesOrioles are done.


AL CENTRAL


#TEAMW-LGB1White SoxWhite Sox76-73—2GuardiansGuardians76-740.53TwinsTwins70-796.04TigersTigers70-796.05RoyalsRoyals66-8410.5

The tightest division race in baseball. The White SoxWhite Sox at 76-73 and the GuardiansGuardians at 76-74 are half a game apart — and the one that loses the division is still holding the third wild card, which makes this the rare race where both teams are probably in.


Cleveland's bullpen has dragged a .500 club into October. The bullpen report is the page that tells you whether tonight is a night to bet them.


AL WEST


#TEAMW-LGB1AstrosAstros75-75—2RangersRangers74-761.03MarinersMariners70-805.04AthleticsAthletics OUT61-8914.05AngelsAngels OUT56-9318.5

The AstrosAstros have fallen to exactly .500 at 75-75 and still lead the division, with the RangersRangers a game back at 74-76. This is the softest division lead in baseball, and the winner will be the AL's No. 3 seed — hosting a wild card series as a team that would be nowhere near the playoffs in any other division.


The AthleticsAthletics and AngelsAngels are eliminated.


AL Wild Card


#TEAMW-LGB1YankeesYankees86-63—2Red SoxRed Sox82-68—3GuardiansGuardians76-74—4Blue JaysBlue Jays75-751.05RangersRangers74-762.06OriolesOrioles72-784.07TwinsTwins70-795.58TigersTigers70-795.59MarinersMariners70-806.010RoyalsRoyals66-8410.011AthleticsAthletics61-8915.012AngelsAngels56-9319.5

Yankees and Red Sox are close to safe. The third spot is Cleveland's at 76-74 — but Toronto at 75-75 and Texas at 74-76 are both within two games, and every head-to-head game from here swings the math by two.




NATIONAL LEAGUE


NL EAST


#TEAMW-LGB1BravesBraves88-62—2PhilliesPhillies83-675.03MarlinsMarlins74-7614.04NationalsNationals OUT70-8118.55MetsMets69-8018.5

The BravesBraves at 88-62 lead by five over the PhilliesPhillies, who hold a wild card comfortably at 83-67. The MarlinsMarlins at 74-76 are seven back of the last spot and effectively done. The NationalsNationals are eliminated.


NL CENTRAL


#TEAMW-LGB1BrewersBrewers CLINCHED93-57—2CubsCubs83-6710.03PiratesPirates75-7518.04CardinalsCardinals74-7619.05RedsReds70-7922.5

The BrewersBrewers clinched at 93-57 with the best record in baseball and the inside track on the NL's top seed. The CubsCubs at 83-67 hold a wild card ten back in the division. The PiratesPirates and CardinalsCardinals are six and seven out of the last spot with twelve to play — not mathematically gone, but close.


NL WEST


#TEAMW-LGB1DodgersDodgers90-59—2PadresPadres81-689.03DiamondbacksDiamondbacks79-7111.54GiantsGiants OUT62-8828.55RockiesRockies OUT55-9435.0

The DodgersDodgers at 90-59 lead by nine and are chasing Milwaukee for the top seed. And the race changed. A week ago the DiamondbacksDiamondbacks held the last wild card by half a game. Today the PadresPadres at 81-68 hold it by 2.5 games over Arizona at 79-71.


That's a three-game swing in a week, and with about thirteen to play it puts San Diego in the driver's seat rather than the passenger's.


NL Wild Card


#TEAMW-LGB1PhilliesPhillies83-67—2CubsCubs83-67—3PadresPadres81-68—4DiamondbacksDiamondbacks79-712.55PiratesPirates75-756.56MarlinsMarlins74-767.57CardinalsCardinals74-767.58RedsReds70-7911.09NationalsNationals70-8112.010MetsMets69-8012.011GiantsGiants62-8819.512RockiesRockies55-9426.0

Cubs and Phillies are both 83-67 and both close to safe. The whole NL race is now San Diego's 2.5-game lead over Arizona, with nobody else within striking distance.




If The Season Ended Today


American League



Still a Yankees–Red Sox wild card series. Still a bye for a White Sox team six games worse than Boston. Still going to make people furious.


National League





Betting The Last Two Weeks


The final fortnight is the best betting stretch of the season and the easiest to get wrong, because motivation stops being uniform. Clinched teams rest starters. Eliminated teams audition call-ups. The Guardians, Blue Jays, Rangers, Padres and Diamondbacks play every game like October.


Lineups first. Confirmed cards drop two hours before first pitch, and September is the month a contender rests a regular and a rebuilding club starts a rookie you've never priced. Batting second is worth roughly one extra plate appearance over batting seventh.


Then the numbers. The Projection Board puts our number against the best price at nine books across fourteen markets. BetScore rates every prop 1 to 100. Splits shows how often a hitter has actually cleared a number. The NRFI board rates every game on both starters and both top-of-orders — and in the first inning every team sends its best three hitters, guaranteed.


Ballpark weather measures wind against each park's own orientation, today's probables grade every spot, and the home run board ranks every hitter on park, wind, pitcher and batting order.


Build with the slip builder or the parlay builder, grade it with the Parlay Doctor — two hitters from the same lineup in the same weather are not independent bets — size it with Kelly, and log it in CLV.


We Call Every Game


The MLB verdict slate carries three calls a game with the running record, locked twenty minutes before first pitch and graded the next morning against the number it was locked at. The ledger has every one, win or loss. The calibration page asks whether our confidence has meant anything.


Tonight's slate → · The full hub →


Records through games of September 13, 2026. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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