⚾ Every night · all season

MLB Tonight

The whole slate in one place — who's actually in the lineup, what the air is doing to a fly ball, our number on every prop against the posted price, and the call on every game with the record attached.

The two hours that decide the night

A hitter's night is downstream of his lineup slot, and cards drop about two hours before first pitch. Batting second is roughly one extra plate appearance over batting seventh — which is the entire margin on a total-bases prop.

Our number against theirs

Fifteen games a night, fourteen markets, thousands of individual prices. No trading desk prices all of that with equal care — which is the whole opportunity.

📐The Projection Boardevery player

Our projection, the posted price, and the edge between them. Hits, total bases, home runs, H+R+RBI, RBIs, runs, walks, steals — plus pitcher Ks, earned runs, hits and walks allowed, outs.

⚖️The Verdict Slategraded

Our call on every game — moneyline, run line and total — with the running record beside it. Finals show the call and the grade to everyone.

💣Home Run Picks

Every hitter on tonight's board ranked by our home run number — park factor, wind, the pitcher and the price.

🚦Hit-Rate Board

Every prop's real rate over the last 5, 10 and 20 in traffic-light colour. When the short window and the long window disagree, something changed.

📉The Unders Board

Lines hung above what a hitter is actually producing. Books shade toward the over because the public loves the over — nobody wants to root for a man to do nothing.

🔥Who's Hot Tonight

Graded off real results game by game, not whoever had a nice highlight.

🎰The Props Board

Every market priced across every book we hold, with the best number flagged.

🧱Slip Builder

Stack from tonight's real board with the true price of every leg shown before you play it.

🎯Parlay Builder

Built off the same board we grade in public, then read back to you before you fire.

🗺️Book Heat Map

the house price side by side. Taking −105 instead of −115 is a raise you give yourself.

🧮Poisson Calculator

The right model for anything arriving as a count — strikeouts, hits, total bases, runs. Most people reach for a normal curve that doesn't fit.

The receipts, not the forecast

What already happened, graded nightly. Hold it against the projections above — that's the whole method.

Games, pools and arguments

Buy-ins are counted in sardines. We never hold, transfer or process anybody's money.

Check our work

Everybody has picks — that's a Tuesday. A public record where the losses sit on the page next to the wins is a completely different commitment.

Baseball humbles projections faster than any sport. A great number and a bad night are entirely compatible — which is exactly why we grade ours in public over a season rather than a weekend. Prices move and lineups drop late, so always confirm at the book.

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