⭐ Go Velvet — $9.99/mo

Every tool, every board, unlimited — plus the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Guide free and early access to new tools.

Sign Up · $9.99/mo →or create a free account →
🏈 NFL
Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. Player Props & DFS Value

#9 · QB · 6' 3" · 220 lbs · age 26 · Washington · 3 yr vet
Atlanta Falcons checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefMichael Penix Jr. · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Michael Penix Jr. of the Atlanta Falcons (#9 · QB · 6' 3" · 220 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Michael Penix Jr. has gone over his number in 4 of his last 12 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 53 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 225.57 pass yds, moved from a base of 216.78 by vs BAL pass D #18 (+1.2%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against BAL.

We project 19.16 rush yds, moved from a base of 20.17 by vs BAL run D #9 (-5.8%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against BAL.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Michael Penix Jr. of the Atlanta Falcons — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Michael Penix Jr. — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS BAL
53
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds225.57from 216.78 · 9 games
vs BAL pass D #18 +1.2%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 23.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +2.3%the machine · 2 graded -1.4%his over rate L10 100% at 137 (2 graded)
Rush Yds19.16from 20.17 · 9 games
vs BAL run D #9 -5.8%turf6 days restdomeimplied 23.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +2.3%the machine · 2 graded -1.4%his over rate L10 0% at 14.5 (2 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Michael Penix Jr. · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 2 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 2 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Michael Penix Jr. — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 4/12 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: -2
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 223
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: -2
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 124.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 256
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
📚 Latest reads · NFLAll articles →
NFL Week 5 Sunday Preview: Injury Report, Quarterback Watch, Parlays, Teasers, Middles and the Marvin Harrison Jr. Trade Report
Thirteen games, a London kickoff and a trade report that could change the fantasy football board before lunch. Week 5 ha…
Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16 Recap: Bucky Irving Runs for 165 as Tampa Bay Stuns Dallas on Thursday Night Football
NFL Week 5 | Thursday, October 8, 2026 | AT&T Stadium, Arlington | box score A Thursday Night Off During Football Se…
Who did the Commanders Piss off?
After watching this week’s NFL action, I am left with a lot of questions. Does the NFL have a script, and who did the Wa…
Game Zone Is Live: Watch Every NFL, MLB, NBA And NHL Game At Once, With The Field, The Diamond And The Court Moving In Real Time
We just shipped the single most ambitious page on the site. Game Zone is live now, a whip-around of every game being pla…
💬 From the forum · NFLJoin the room →
Every NFL referee since 2015 with this week's crews
0 replies · Sep 6
Every NFL prop on one page, every line, every book
0 replies · Sep 6
We lock every NFL call 20 minutes before kickoff
0 replies · Aug 23

🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS