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🏈 NFL
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#7 · RB · 5' 11" · 215 lbs · age 24 · Texas · 4 yr vet
Atlanta Falcons checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefBijan Robinson · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Bijan Robinson of the Atlanta Falcons (#7 · RB · 5' 11" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Bijan Robinson has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 72, 0, 9, 3, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 70 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 81.36 rush yds, moved from a base of 73.97 by vs NO run D #27 (+8.1%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 4.13 receptions, moved from a base of 3.97 by vs NO pass D #17 (+0.4%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 39.34 reception yds, moved from a base of 37.77 by vs NO pass D #17 (+0.4%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 0.37 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.36 by vs NO red-zone D #19 (+1.9%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Bijan Robinson of the Atlanta Falcons — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Bijan Robinson — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT NO
70
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds81.36from 73.97 · 15 games
vs NO run D #27 +8.1%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 11 days +3%domeimplied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -1%the machine · 2 graded +1.8%his over rate L10 50% at 109.5 (2 graded)
Receptions4.13from 3.97 · 15 games
vs NO pass D #17 +0.4%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 11 days +3%dome +2%implied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -1%the machine · 2 graded +1.8%his over rate L10 0% at 7.5 (2 graded)
Reception Yds39.34from 37.77 · 15 games
vs NO pass D #17 +0.4%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 11 days +3%dome +2%implied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -1%the machine · 2 graded +1.8%his over rate L10 0% at 64.5 (2 graded)
Anytime Td0.37from 0.36 · 15 games
vs NO red-zone D #19 +1.9%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 11 days +3%domeimplied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -1%the machine · 2 graded +1.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Bijan Robinson · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 2 50%50%50%50%
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Bijan Robinson — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 3/12 overs (25%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 2
player_receptions · line 10.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 19
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 194
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 4.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 9
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 72
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Bijan Robinson — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
W18308901
W2720390
W319422190
Total3492131181
Per game116.30.74.339.30.3
Median8303190
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 @ NO · Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET
What NO gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#29115.67rush yds/g to RBs
#311.33rush TD/g to RBs
#214.67catches/g to RBs
#2336.33rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS1622869.84.97
TURF3253678.54.718
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS16795526.170%3
TURF3216612837.977%5
+13% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+45% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Bijan Robinson — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Bijan Robinson carried 288 times for 1480 yards (5.14 per carry) and 7 touchdowns, with a 41.3% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end442174.932
Left tackle562885.141
Left guard421844.380
Up the middle271515.590
Right guard2313861
Right tackle613435.622
Right end341574.621

Target zones

Bijan Robinson saw 103 targets and caught 79 (76.7%) for 820 yards and 4 touchdowns. 104.5% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep right300%00
Short left524178.8%3740
Short middle8675%670
Short right403280%3794

Snap counts

Bijan Robinson played 860 offensive snaps across 17 games in 2025 — 50.6 per game, 78.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.