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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#27 · RB · 5' 10" · 212 lbs · age 27 · Ohio State · 7 yr vet
Denver Broncos checking status… ⚖️ Compare
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AI BriefJ.K. Dobbins · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

J.K. Dobbins of the Denver Broncos (#27 · RB · 5' 10" · 212 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

J.K. Dobbins has gone over his number in 5 of his last 22 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 59 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 46.93 rush yds, moved from a base of 44.65 by vs ARI run D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 0.24 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.23 by vs ARI run D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 23.26 reception yds, moved from a base of 21.54 by vs ARI pass D #24 (+5.8%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 0.29 total tds, moved from a base of 0.26 by vs ARI red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for J.K. Dobbins of the Denver Broncos — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 J.K. Dobbins — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT ARI
59
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds46.93from 44.65 · 5 games
vs ARI run D #23 +5%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -0.1%the machine · 5 graded -0.8%his over rate L10 20% at 78.3 (5 graded)
Rush Tds0.24from 0.23 · 5 games
vs ARI run D #23 +5%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -0.1%the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
Reception Yds23.26from 21.54 · 5 games
vs ARI pass D #24 +5.8%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%dome +2%implied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -0.1%the machine · 5 graded -0.8%his over rate L10 100% at 3.5 (1 graded)
Total Tds0.29from 0.26 · 5 games
vs ARI red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -0.1%the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
Anytime Td0.3from 0.27 · 5 games
vs ARI red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -0.1%the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 J.K. Dobbins · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 20%20%20%20%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 J.K. Dobbins — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 5/22 overs (23%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 3.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 5
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 43.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 41
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 68
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 J.K. Dobbins — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W136000
W236000
W349014
W4400212
W568126
Total2291522
Per game45.80.214.4
Median40014
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ ARI · Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
What ARI gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#27110rush yds/g to RBs
#230.8rush TD/g to RBs
#12.6catches/g to RBs
#823.2rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS1115964.84.52
TURF34073.35.52
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS1113114.285%0
+13% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

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J.K. Dobbins — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

J.K. Dobbins carried 153 times for 772 yards (5.05 per carry) and 4 touchdowns, with a 45.8% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end1418012.861
Left tackle20743.70
Left guard19884.631
Up the middle261033.960
Right guard25973.882
Right tackle361614.470
Right end13695.310

Target zones

J.K. Dobbins saw 14 targets and caught 11 (78.6%) for 37 yards and 0 touchdowns. 151.4% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left7685.7%260
Short middle11100%60
Short right6466.7%50

Snap counts

J.K. Dobbins played 340 offensive snaps across 10 games in 2025 — 34 per game, 51.1% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.