Saturday, October 31, 2026 | Meta APEX | Las Vegas, Nevada
FantasyDailies | MMA | Saturday, October 31, 2026
Halloween weekend gets a little more violent inside the Octagon tonight as the UFC closes out October with UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan.
The 12-fight card features an intriguing lightweight main event between two ranked fighters, a welterweight co-main event with serious knockout potential, and several competitive matchups worth a look beyond the favorites. Follow every bout live, round by round, in the MMA Game Zone, and get the full card on our MMA hub.
EVENT INFORMATION
- Event: UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan (UFC Vegas 123)
- Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
- Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Preliminary card: 5:00 PM ET
- Main card: 8:00 PM ET
- Broadcast: Paramount+
- Total bouts: 12
- Main event: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan, five rounds
- Other bouts: three rounds
- Follow it live: MMA Game Zone on the website, on Roku and on Amazon Fire TV
MAIN EVENT: RENATO MOICANO VS. TOM NOLAN
Lightweight, 155 pounds
Tonight's headliner is a clash between experience and momentum.
Renato Moicano (21-7-1), ranked No. 12 at lightweight, is the established contender, a veteran who has shared the cage with some of the toughest names in the division. He stepped into this fight after Brian Ortega pulled out of their UFC 331 matchup with an injury.
Across from him is Australia's Tom Nolan (11-1), a fellow ranked lightweight riding a five-fight winning streak that includes a win over Fares Ziam. This is Nolan's first UFC headliner.
Nolan has a chance to establish himself as a legitimate contender. Beating a veteran like Moicano would be the biggest win of his career and could push him toward the division's top 10.
The market: this is the closest fight on the main card, with Moicano a slight favorite. Compare the current numbers on the odds heat map and track any late moves on the line movement board.
Matchup to watch: Moicano's experience and technical approach against Nolan's momentum.
Significance: a Moicano win reinforces his place among the ranked contenders. A Nolan win could signal the arrival of a legitimate new lightweight threat.
CO-MAIN EVENT: RANDY BROWN VS. JACOBE SMITH
Welterweight, 170 pounds
Randy Brown brings experience, reach and an established UFC resume. Jacobe Smith, a late replacement for Carlos Leal, is unbeaten at 13-0, and all five of his UFC fights have ended inside the distance.
Smith is the clear favorite, but Brown's experience makes him an interesting underdog.
Matchup to watch: Smith's physicality and finishing ability against Brown's experience and striking range. With Smith's finishing rate, the round total in this one deserves a look.
REMAINING MAIN CARD
Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (flyweight): a true coin flip, with Durden the slightest of favorites. One of the more interesting fights on the card for straight bettors.
Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (women's bantamweight): two ranked bantamweights. Luana is the favorite, while Yana has won three straight, all by unanimous decision, and the market expects this one to go the distance.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (welterweight): Lebosnoyani is 2-0 in the UFC, both by decision, and a solid favorite. Hasanov is unbeaten at 6-0 in his second UFC fight.
PRELIMINARY CARD (5:00 PM ET)
BoutDivisionThe storyFrancis Marshall vs. Dakota HopeFeatherweightMarshall has won two straight; Hope, a replacement for Gaston Bolanos, is still looking for his first UFC winRodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor BerggrenWelterweightBoth are looking for their first UFC win after losing their debuts to the same opponentJulian Erosa vs. JeongYeong LeeFeatherweightLee is the favorite against the veteran ErosaZachary Reese vs. Mickey GallMiddleweightReese is one of the bigger favorites on the cardNick Klein vs. Joe KropschotMiddleweightKropschot (9-3) is favored over Klein, who is 0-2 in the UFCTalita Alencar vs. Piera RodriguezWomen's strawweightBoth are on three-fight win streaks; Rodriguez is favoredLucia Szabova vs. Tainara LisboaWomen's flyweightSzabova is unbeaten at 12-0 in her UFC debut and the biggest favorite on the card; Lisboa has lost two straightTONIGHT'S BETTING LANDSCAPE
Biggest favorites: Lucia Szabova, Zachary Reese, Joe Kropschot, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, Piera Rodriguez and Jacobe Smith.
Interesting underdogs: Randy Brown, Dakota Hope, Yana Santos, Farman Hasanov and Julian Erosa.
Most competitive matchups: Moicano vs. Nolan, Osbourne vs. Durden, Erosa vs. Lee and Sezinando vs. Berggren.
A big favorite isn't automatically a good bet. Turn any fight price into a real percentage with the implied probability calculator or the odds converter before you decide.
TONIGHT'S UFC PARLAY
Here is a three-leg build off tonight's card, made in the AI MMA Parlay Builder:
- Leg 1: Jacobe Smith to beat Randy Brown. Unbeaten, with every UFC win coming inside the distance.
- Leg 2: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to beat Farman Hasanov. The more experienced UFC fighter, 2-0 in the promotion.
- Leg 3: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos to go the distance. Yana's last three wins all went to the scorecards.
Three favored outcomes stacked together still lose to one upset, so check the combined payout before you place it. Paste it into the Parlay Doctor for an A-to-F grade, build your own in the AI MMA Parlay Builder, or let the AI Parlay Generator mix it with tonight's NBA and NHL action. Every builder we have is in the parlay hub, and the hedge calculator and parlay calculator help you protect a live ticket.
THREE FIGHTS WORTH WATCHING
- Moicano vs. Nolan: the most important fight of the night from a rankings perspective.
- Brown vs. Smith: an unbeaten finisher against a seasoned veteran.
- Osbourne vs. Durden: a near pick'em that could be the most competitive fight of the evening.
HEAR IT FROM OUR FIGHT CREW
The Not Moved Podcast breaks down every UFC card on its fight preview show, and the episodes play on FantasyDailies TV on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. Catch the network's whole lineup on the FantasyDailies TV page, see every show in the network, and check the weekly show schedule.
Wrestling fan too? Head to the wrestling page and try the wrestling trivia. Think you know the fight game? Take on 210 questions in MMA trivia.
FINAL THOUGHTS
UFC Vegas 123 might not have championship gold on the line, but it has what makes fight nights interesting: fighters with plenty to prove.
Moicano is fighting to keep his standing among the lightweight contenders. Nolan is trying to jump from rising contender to legitimate threat. And Jacobe Smith has a chance to stay perfect in the welterweight division.
For bettors, the most important thing tonight is separating attractive payouts from real value. Don't confuse a big favorite with a sure winner.
Halloween night, 12 fights, and one more chance for somebody to change their career inside the Octagon. Watch every round in the MMA Game Zone and the main Game Zone on the website, on Roku and on Amazon Fire TV (every place to watch is on our Watch & Listen page), read more MMA articles, and talk about it in the community forum.
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