How is HR/K/SB probability calculated?

Directly from the best available price across every book for that prop, converted to implied probability. It's the market's own honest read, vig included, not a separate model.

Why show probability instead of just the odds?

A price like +260 is hard to compare across players at a glance. Probability puts every player on the same 0-100 scale so the board can be ranked directly.

🎯 The Probability Board · straight from the market, vig included

Tonight's best HR, K & SB odds — ranked.

The best available price at any book, converted to a straight probability so every player sits on the same scale. Tap a name for the full player page.

Scanning tonight's board…

How this board works ▾

Every number here comes straight from a live sportsbook price, not a separate projection model.

Probability = the best available price on that side, converted from American odds to a 0-100% read. Vig included, so it's slightly conservative by design — the true probability is a touch lower than what's shown.
Ranked highest to lowest so the board itself does the sorting work.
Same math as everywhere else on the site — this just gives HR/K/SB their own dedicated home instead of being buried inside the full props board.
Want the raw price and every book? Shop the full props board.

Accounts are coming

Tonight's best HR, K & SB odds — ranked.