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🏈 NFL
Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#84 · TE · 6' 6" · 256 lbs · age 24 · Penn State · 2 yr vet
Indianapolis Colts checking status… ⚖️ Compare
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AI BriefTyler Warren · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Tyler Warren of the Indianapolis Colts (#84 · TE · 6' 6" · 256 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Tyler Warren has gone over his number in 5 of his last 20 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 42 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 36.02 reception yds, moved from a base of 42.27 by vs MIN pass D #3 (-10.5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at MIN.

We project 3.99 receptions, moved from a base of 4.69 by vs MIN pass D #3 (-10.5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at MIN.

We project 0.16 reception tds, moved from a base of 0.21 by vs MIN red-zone D #1 (-12%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at MIN.

We project 0.22 total tds, moved from a base of 0.29 by vs MIN red-zone D #1 (-12%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at MIN.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Tyler Warren of the Indianapolis Colts — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Tyler Warren — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT MIN
42
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds36.02from 42.27 · 5 games
vs MIN pass D #3 -10.5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%dome +2%implied 16.3 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -10%big dog by the house throws +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.3%his over rate L10 50% at 67 (4 graded)
Receptions3.99from 4.69 · 5 games
vs MIN pass D #3 -10.5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%dome +2%implied 16.3 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -10%big dog by the house throws +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.3%his over rate L10 25% at 8.8 (4 graded)
Reception Tds0.16from 0.21 · 5 games
vs MIN red-zone D #1 -12%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%dome +2%implied 16.3 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -10%big dog by the house throws -3%the machine · 4 graded -0.3%
Total Tds0.22from 0.29 · 5 games
vs MIN red-zone D #1 -12%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 16.3 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -10%big dog by the house throws -3%the machine · 4 graded -0.3%
Anytime Td0.25from 0.33 · 5 games
vs MIN red-zone D #1 -12%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%domeimplied 16.3 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -10%big dog by the house throws -3%the machine · 4 graded -0.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Tyler Warren · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 4 50%50%50%50%
Receiving Yards 4 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 4 25%25%25%25% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Tyler Warren — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 5/20 overs (25%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 10.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 7
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 83
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 1
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 10.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 5
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 41
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Tyler Warren — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · TE
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRecRec ydsRec TDRush yds
W131310
W262113
W395502
W454100
W578301
Total3021326
Per game642.60.41.2
Median64101
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ MIN · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What MIN gave up to TEs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#23.2catches/g to TEs
#1044.2rec yds/g to TEs
#60rec TD/g to TEs
#3195.4pass yds allowed/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS7483440.771%1
TURF14936547.370%5
+16% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Tyler Warren — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

Tyler Warren saw 114 targets and caught 76 (66.7%) for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns. 58% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left4375%850
Deep right6233.3%470
Short left452760%2731
Short middle221672.7%1402
Short right352880%2721

Snap counts

Tyler Warren played 899 offensive snaps across 17 games in 2025 — 52.9 per game, 83.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.