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🏈 NFL
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#14 · QB · 6' 3" · 225 lbs · age 29 · USC · 9 yr vet
Seattle Seahawks checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
AI BriefSam Darnold · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Sam Darnold of the Seattle Seahawks (#14 · QB · 6' 3" · 225 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Sam Darnold has cleared his number in 0 of his last 6 graded props on this board, with 379, 4, 5, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 53 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 227.86 pass yds, moved from a base of 226.12 by vs LAC pass D #21 (+3.5%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against LAC.

We project 16.71 rush yds, moved from a base of 16.46 by vs LAC run D #22 (+4.3%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against LAC.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Sam Darnold of the Seattle Seahawks — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Sam Darnold — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS LAC
53
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds227.86from 226.12 · 14 games
vs LAC pass D #21 +3.5%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.3 pts (house engine, v2) -2.6%the machine · 1 gradedhis over rate L10 100% at 124.5 (1 graded)
Rush Yds16.71from 16.46 · 14 games
vs LAC run D #22 +4.3%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.3 pts (house engine, v2) -2.6%the machine · 1 gradedhis over rate L10 0% at 14.5 (1 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Sam Darnold · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 1 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Sam Darnold — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 2/6 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 5
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 4
passing_yards · line 124.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 379
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Sam Darnold — 2026 GAME LOG · 2 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush yds
W11300
W337945
Total39245
Per game19622.5
Median19622.5
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 vs LAC · Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
What LAC gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#22244.67pass yds/g to QBs
#131.33pass TD/g to QBs
#1414.67rush yds/g to QBs
#152.33sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS928564%259.1170
TURF1336264%213.8170
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS9106.05.40
TURF13185.64.10
-17% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
-6% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Sam Darnold — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Sam Darnold threw 599 passes in 2025, completing 63.3% for 4720 yards, 30 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left421945.2%5053
Deep middle18844.4%2622
Deep right452760%8516
Short left18113272.9%12317
Short middle1067469.8%8344
Short right17211969.2%10378

Run gaps

Sam Darnold carried 27 times for 122 yards (4.52 per carry) and 0 touchdowns, with a 66.7% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end72840
Up the middle8435.380
Right tackle4225.50
Right end5295.80

Snap counts

Sam Darnold played 1212 offensive snaps across 20 games in 2025 — 60.6 per game, 96.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.