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🏈 NFL
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#9 · QB · 6' 4" · 215 lbs · age 29 · LSU · 7 yr vet
Cincinnati Bengals checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
AI BriefJoe Burrow · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals (#9 · QB · 6' 4" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Joe Burrow has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 207, 2, -1, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 63 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 246.76 pass yds, moved from a base of 228.35 by vs JAX pass D #22 (+4.3%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against JAX.

We project 17.6 rush yds, moved from a base of 18.17 by vs JAX run D #8 (-6.6%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against JAX.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Jaguars hold off Bengals for 22-17 win
PFT · 3h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Jaguars hold off Bengals for 22-17 win
CINJAXpft · 3h ago
🔥Jaguars pick off Joe Burrow, extend lead to 13-3 before halftime
JAXpft · 5h ago
🚑Ja'Marr Chase injury update as Bengals star is pulled down by facemask
CINyahoo · 6h ago

This is the live market page for Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Joe Burrow — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS JAX
63
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds246.76from 228.35 · 11 games
vs JAX pass D #22 +4.3%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 23.8 pts (house engine, v2) +2.8%the machine · 2 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 100% at 149.5 (2 graded)
Rush Yds17.6from 18.17 · 11 games
vs JAX run D #8 -6.6%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 23.8 pts (house engine, v2) +2.8%the machine · 2 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 0% at 14.5 (2 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Joe Burrow · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 2 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 2 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Joe Burrow — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 4/12 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 13
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 3
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 282
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: -1
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 2
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 207
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Joe Burrow — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush yds
W1254120
W22072-1
W3282313
Total743632
Per game247.7210.7
Median254213
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 @ MIA · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
What MIA gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#18231pass yds/g to QBs
#272.33pass TD/g to QBs
#710.33rush yds/g to QBs
#320sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS1452665%248.4310
TURF2287665%272.6480
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS14298.34.00
TURF223912.16.82
+10% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
+46% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Joe Burrow — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Joe Burrow threw 278 passes in 2025, completing 62.2% for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left11436.4%1420
Deep middle8562.5%1212
Deep right16425%1142
Short left926469.6%5326
Short middle413482.9%3540
Short right916268.1%5467

Run gaps

Joe Burrow carried 13 times for 42 yards (3.23 per carry) and 0 touchdowns, with a 53.8% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end21050
Left guard1330
Up the middle5112.20
Right guard1220
Right tackle1330
Right end3134.330

Snap counts

Joe Burrow played 478 offensive snaps across 8 games in 2025 — 59.8 per game, 87.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.