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🏈 NFL
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#30 · RB · 5' 8" · 215 lbs · age 27 · Oklahoma State · 5 yr vet
Pittsburgh Steelers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefJaylen Warren · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Jaylen Warren of the Pittsburgh Steelers (#30 · RB · 5' 8" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Jaylen Warren has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 127, 0, 49, 3, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 50 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 54.31 rush yds, moved from a base of 59.16 by vs CLE run D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CLE.

We project 23.86 reception yds, moved from a base of 26.58 by vs CLE pass D #20 (+2.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CLE.

We project 0.22 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.27 by vs CLE red-zone D #8 (-6.6%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CLE.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Jaylen Warren of the Pittsburgh Steelers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Jaylen Warren — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CLE
50
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds54.31from 59.16 · 15 games
vs CLE run D #23 +5%on the road -2%grassshort week · 4 days -4%clear at kickoffimplied 19.6 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -6.7%the machine · 3 graded -0.4%his over rate L10 67% at 52.8 (3 graded)
Reception Yds23.86from 26.58 · 15 games
vs CLE pass D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%grassshort week · 4 days -4%clear at kickoffimplied 19.6 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -6.7%the machine · 3 graded -0.4%his over rate L10 100% at 16.2 (3 graded)
Anytime Td0.22from 0.27 · 15 games
vs CLE red-zone D #8 -6.6%on the road -2%grassshort week · 4 days -4%clear at kickoffimplied 19.6 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -6.7%the machine · 3 graded -0.4%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Jaylen Warren · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 3 67%67%67%67%
Last Touchdown Scorer 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 3 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Jaylen Warren — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/18 overs (39%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-01
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-01
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-01
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-01
OVER
final: 33
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-01
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-01
UNDER
final: 93
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 49
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 29.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 127
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Jaylen Warren — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRecRec yds
W146527
W243234
W3127349
Total21610110
Per game723.336.7
Median46334
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 vs IND · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
What IND gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#27114rush yds/g to RBs
#301.33rush TD/g to RBs
#164.33catches/g to RBs
#2943.67rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3838446.94.67
TURF1414753.35.14
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS3812610320.082%1
TURF14504423.188%1
+14% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+15% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Jaylen Warren — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Jaylen Warren carried 223 times for 1001 yards (4.49 per carry) and 6 touchdowns, with a 42.6% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end251777.082
Left tackle321765.51
Left guard321093.411
Up the middle501683.361
Right guard30993.30
Right tackle291374.720
Right end251355.41

Target zones

Jaylen Warren saw 46 targets and caught 41 (89.1%) for 337 yards and 2 touchdowns. 130.3% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left11872.7%1050
Short middle7685.7%250
Short right282796.4%2072

Snap counts

Jaylen Warren played 515 offensive snaps across 17 games in 2025 — 30.3 per game, 50.5% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.