🔄 LATE SWAP EV
Movement is not edge
Before you swap a player at lock, work out whether the move is genuinely positive expected value or just movement for its own sake, given what you give up and what you gain.
🔄 Swap EV Calculatorworth the change?
Value swing—
⚖️ Compares points-per-$1K between the two — positive means B is the better value at these salaries.
Why this number matters
Late swap feels productive. It often is not. Swapping off a player because news broke is only correct if the replacement's edge exceeds what you are giving up — including the correlation you break by doing it.
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