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🏈 NFL
Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#13 · QB · 6' 1" · 220 lbs · age 26 · Iowa State · 5 yr vet
San Francisco 49ers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefBrock Purdy · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers (#13 · QB · 6' 1" · 220 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Brock Purdy has cleared his number in 0 of his last 6 graded props on this board, with 287, 2, 30, 1, 1 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 39 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 260.24 pass yds, moved from a base of 242.58 by vs ARI pass D #17 (+0.4%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against ARI.

We project 31.93 rush yds, moved from a base of 26.93 by vs ARI run D #21 (+3.5%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against ARI.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Brock Purdy — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS ARI
39
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds260.24from 242.58 · 11 games
vs ARI pass D #17 +0.4%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 27.2 pts (house engine, v2) +10%big favourite by the house 7.8 -3%the machine · 1 graded +0.2%his over rate L10 100% at 224.5 (1 graded)
Rush Yds31.93from 26.93 · 11 games
vs ARI run D #21 +3.5%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 27.2 pts (house engine, v2) +10%big favourite by the house 7.8 +4%the machine · 1 graded +0.2%his over rate L10 100% at 13.5 (1 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Brock Purdy · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 1 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Brock Purdy — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 4/6 overs (67%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 1
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 13.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 30
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 2
passing_yards · line 224.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 287
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Brock Purdy — 2026 GAME LOG · 2 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TD
W12053290
W22872301
Total4925591
Per game2462.529.50.5
Median2462.529.50.5
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 3 vs ARI · Sun Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET
What ARI gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#17222pass yds/g to QBs
#232pass TD/g to QBs
#1414.5rush yds/g to QBs
#192sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS36113864%261.1630
TURF928167%239.2160
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3611017.95.910
TURF93218.65.20
-8% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
+4% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Brock Purdy — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Brock Purdy threw 359 passes in 2025, completing 64.1% for 2569 yards, 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left231043.5%2780
Deep middle211361.9%3832
Deep right11654.5%1441
Short left1198268.9%7767
Short middle644875%4136
Short right1047168.3%5756

Run gaps

Brock Purdy carried 40 times for 215 yards (5.38 per carry) and 3 touchdowns, with a 65% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end12947.833
Left tackle21260
Left guard1330
Up the middle135240
Right tackle3237.670
Right end9313.440

Snap counts

Brock Purdy played 686 offensive snaps across 11 games in 2025 — 62.4 per game, 96.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.