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⚾ MLB

Ceddanne Rafaela Player Props & DFS Value

CF
Boston Red Sox checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefCeddanne Rafaela · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Ceddanne Rafaela of the Boston Red Sox (CF) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Ceddanne Rafaela has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

We project 1.3 bases, moved from a base of 1.12 by vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 (+7%), at home · 0.738 OPS (-2.9%), day game · 0.735 OPS (-3.3%), at home against CHC.

We project 0.92 hits, moved from a base of 0.8 by vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 (+7%), at home · 0.738 OPS (-2.9%), day game · 0.735 OPS (-3.3%), at home against CHC.

We project 0.15 doubles, moved from a base of 0.13 by vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 (+7%), at home · 0.738 OPS (-2.9%), day game · 0.735 OPS (-3.3%), at home against CHC.

We project 0.02 triples, moved from a base of 0.02 by vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 (+7%), at home · 0.738 OPS (-2.9%), day game · 0.735 OPS (-3.3%), at home against CHC.

We project 0.73 singles, moved from a base of 0.63 by vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 (+7%), at home · 0.738 OPS (-2.9%), day game · 0.735 OPS (-3.3%), at home against CHC.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Ceddanne Rafaela: Sitting out first game of twin bill
ROTOWIRE · 5h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Ceddanne Rafaela: Sitting out first game of twin bill
rotowire · 5h ago
🚑Red Sox News & Links: Ceddanne Rafaela dodges injury scare, returns to lineup tonight
BOSyahoo · 23h ago
🔥Ceddanne Rafaela: Back in action Thursday
rotowire · 1d ago

This is the live market page for Ceddanne Rafaela of the Boston Red Sox — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Ceddanne Rafaela — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS CHC
Bases1.3from 1.12 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Hits0.92from 0.8 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Doubles0.15from 0.13 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Triples0.02from 0.02 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Singles0.73from 0.63 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Runs0.39from 0.33 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Rbis0.45from 0.39 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Stolen Bases0.06from 0.05 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS +6%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +5.6%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
Home Runs0.1from 0.09 · 11 games
vs David Peterson · 4.96 ERA, 8.2 K/9 +7%at home · 0.738 OPS -2.9%day game · 0.735 OPS -3.3%house engine 4.6 runs projected for BOS +2.3%park · BOS -5%air tonight · wind carries 16 mph, 62\u00b0 +10%day gamethe machine · 12 graded +0.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Ceddanne Rafaela · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Bases 11 20%20%18%18%
Hits 11 60%50%55%55% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Doubles 11 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Triples 11 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Singles 11 60%50%55%55% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Runs 11 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Ceddanne Rafaela — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 16/103 overs (16%)
hits_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
rbis_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
home_runs · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
stolen_bases · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
rbis · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
runs · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
singles · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
triples · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
doubles · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
hits · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
bases · line 0.5
2026-09-24
UNDER
final: 0
hits_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-23
OVER
final: 1
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
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