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🏈 NFL
Ted Hurst III

Ted Hurst III Player Props & DFS Value

#17 · WR · 6' 3" · 185 lbs · age 22 · Georgia State · ROOKIE
Tampa Bay Buccaneers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Ted Hurst IIIRead it ▾Ted Hurst III has gone over his number in 8 of his last 19 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Ted Hurst III of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (#17 · WR · 6' 3" · 185 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Ted Hurst III has gone over his number in 8 of his last 19 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 52 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 34.34 reception yds, moved from a base of 35.96 by vs CAR pass D #18 (+1.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 0.19 reception tds, moved from a base of 0.18 by vs CAR red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 0.19 total tds, moved from a base of 0.18 by vs CAR red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 0.28 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.27 by vs CAR red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Ted Hurst III of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Ted Hurst III — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CAR
52
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds34.34from 35.96 · 5 games
vs CAR pass D #18 +1.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%his over rate L10 100% at 13.8 (4 graded)
Reception Tds0.19from 0.18 · 5 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
Total Tds0.19from 0.18 · 5 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
Anytime Td0.28from 0.27 · 5 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Ted Hurst III · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 4 25%25%25%25%
Receiving Yards 4 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 3 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Ted Hurst III — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 8/19 overs (42%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 11.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 40
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 25
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Ted Hurst III — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · WR
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRecRec ydsRec TD
W13360
W22270
W31401
W42250
W63400
Total111681
Per game2.233.60.2
Median2360
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ CAR · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What CAR gave up to WRs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#2112.4catches/g to WRs
#17147.6rec yds/g to WRs
#40.4rec TD/g to WRs
#18237pass yds allowed/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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