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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#15 · WR · 5' 10" · 194 lbs · age 33 · Oklahoma · 10 yr vet
Houston Texans checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefSterling Shepard · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Sterling Shepard of the Houston Texans (#15 · WR · 5' 10" · 194 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Tonight's spot grades 68 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 22.77 reception yds, moved from a base of 19.91 by vs CIN pass D #25 (+6.6%), on the road · his split (-2%), turf, on the road at CIN.

We project 0.1 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.09 by vs CIN red-zone D #18 (+1.2%), on the road · his split (+8%), turf, on the road at CIN.

Everything on this page is graded in public. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding tonight's game…

This is the live market page for Sterling Shepard of the Houston Texans — every posted player prop across 9+ sportsbooks with the best price flagged, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Sterling Shepard — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CIN
68
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds22.77from 19.91 · 13 games
vs CIN pass D #25 +6.6%on the road · his split -2%turfoutdoorsimplied 27 pts +9.5%
Anytime Td0.1from 0.09 · 13 games
vs CIN red-zone D #18 +1.2%on the road · his split +8%turfoutdoorsimplied 27 pts +9.5%
🔒 Every market on him · Velvet
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the best price and the edge: The Projection Board →
🏈 Sterling Shepard — 2025 GAME LOG · 13 GAMES · WR
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRecRec ydsRec TDRush yds
W133900
W243400
W348000
W421406
W54241-5
W625100
W772500
W81800
W10320011
W1145407
W1231200
W131500
W141500
Total39371119
Per game328.50.11.5
Median32400
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 1 @ CIN · Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
What CIN gave up to WRs in 2025, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#17.41catches/g to WRs
#193.65rec yds/g to WRs
#30.41rec TD/g to WRs
#25245.59pass yds allowed/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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Sterling Shepard — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

Sterling Shepard saw 54 targets and caught 39 (72.2%) for 371 yards and 1 touchdowns. 40.2% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left6233.3%440
Deep middle100%00
Deep right2150%190
Short left181477.8%1141
Short middle8675%710
Short right181688.9%1230

Snap counts

Sterling Shepard played 495 offensive snaps across 13 games in 2025 — 38.1 per game, 56.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.