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🏈 NFL
Nate Boerkircher

Nate Boerkircher Player Props & DFS Value

#87 · TE · 6' 5" · 245 lbs · age 25 · Texas A&M · ROOKIE
Jacksonville Jaguars checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Nate BoerkircherRead it ▾Nate Boerkircher has gone over his number in 2 of his last 14 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Nate Boerkircher of the Jacksonville Jaguars (#87 · TE · 6' 5" · 245 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Nate Boerkircher has gone over his number in 2 of his last 14 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 61 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 25.5 reception yds, moved from a base of 24.65 by vs IND pass D #21 (+3.5%), grass, extra rest · 14 days (+3%), at home against IND.

We project 0.19 reception tds, moved from a base of 0.18 by vs IND red-zone D #22 (+4.3%), grass, extra rest · 14 days (+3%), at home against IND.

We project 0.19 total tds, moved from a base of 0.18 by vs IND red-zone D #22 (+4.3%), grass, extra rest · 14 days (+3%), at home against IND.

We project 0.28 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.27 by vs IND red-zone D #22 (+4.3%), grass, extra rest · 14 days (+3%), at home against IND.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Nate Boerkircher of the Jacksonville Jaguars — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Nate Boerkircher — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS IND
61
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds25.5from 24.65 · 5 games
vs IND pass D #21 +3.5%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%outdoorsimplied 20 pts -5.7%big underdog · +7.5 +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.1%his over rate L10 0% at 10.5 (1 graded)
Reception Tds0.19from 0.18 · 5 games
vs IND red-zone D #22 +4.3%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%outdoorsimplied 20 pts -5.7%big underdog · +7.5 +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.1%
Total Tds0.19from 0.18 · 5 games
vs IND red-zone D #22 +4.3%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%outdoorsimplied 20 pts -5.7%big underdog · +7.5 +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.1%
Anytime Td0.28from 0.27 · 5 games
vs IND red-zone D #22 +4.3%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%outdoorsimplied 20 pts -5.7%big underdog · +7.5 +3%the machine · 4 graded -0.1%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Nate Boerkircher · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 4 25%25%25%25%
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Nate Boerkircher — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 2/14 overs (14%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 8
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 1
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Nate Boerkircher — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · TE
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRecRec ydsRec TD
W1190
W3000
W41150
W52200
W6281
Total6521
Per game1.210.40.2
Median190
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 8 vs IND · Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
What IND gave up to TEs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#144.83catches/g to TEs
#944.17rec yds/g to TEs
#250.67rec TD/g to TEs
#21240.33pass yds allowed/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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