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🏈 NFL
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell Player Props & DFS Value

#1 · RB · 5' 9" · 200 lbs · age 27 · Memphis · 6 yr vet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Kenny GainwellRead it ▾Kenny Gainwell has gone over his number in 9 of his last 30 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Kenny Gainwell of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (#1 · RB · 5' 9" · 200 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Kenny Gainwell has gone over his number in 9 of his last 30 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 64 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 25.5 rush yds, moved from a base of 24.98 by vs CAR run D #27 (+8.1%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 22.09 reception yds, moved from a base of 23.13 by vs CAR pass D #18 (+1.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 0.11 reception tds, moved from a base of 0.11 by vs CAR red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

We project 0.26 total tds, moved from a base of 0.25 by vs CAR red-zone D #31 (+11.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CAR.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Kenny Gainwell of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Kenny Gainwell — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CAR
64
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds25.5from 24.98 · 6 games
vs CAR run D #27 +8.1%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 5 graded +0.3%his over rate L10 40% at 14.1 (5 graded)
Reception Yds22.09from 23.13 · 6 games
vs CAR pass D #18 +1.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 5 graded +0.3%his over rate L10 20% at 12.9 (5 graded)
Reception Tds0.11from 0.11 · 6 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 5 graded +0.3%
Total Tds0.26from 0.25 · 6 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 5 graded +0.3%
Anytime Td0.28from 0.26 · 6 games
vs CAR red-zone D #31 +11.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 20.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4%the machine · 5 graded +0.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Kenny Gainwell · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 40%40%40%40%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 5 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Kenny Gainwell — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 9/30 overs (30%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 1
player_receiving_yards · line 12.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 7
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 11.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 17
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-08
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-08
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-08
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-08
UNDER
final: 10
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-08
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-08
OVER
final: 18
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Kenny Gainwell — 2026 GAME LOG · 6 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRecRec ydsRec TD
W115130
W210350
W3-42140
W452221
W5183100
W617170
Total6112611
Per game10.2210.20.2
Median12.528.50
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ CAR · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What CAR gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#23103rush yds/g to RBs
#301.2rush TD/g to RBs
#234.8catches/g to RBs
#1832rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS311713.764%1
thin sample on one surface
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

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