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🏈 NFL
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#18 · WR · 6' 1" · 195 lbs · age 27 · LSU · 7 yr vet
Cleveland Browns checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefJustin Jefferson · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Justin Jefferson of the Cleveland Browns (#18 · WR · 6' 1" · 195 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Justin Jefferson has cleared his number in 0 of his last 10 graded props on this board, with 0, 55, 3, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 48 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 50.96 reception yds, moved from a base of 48.52 by vs MIA pass D #18 (+1.2%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against MIA.

We project 4.34 receptions, moved from a base of 4.13 by vs MIA pass D #18 (+1.2%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against MIA.

We project 0.29 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.26 by vs MIA red-zone D #28 (+8.9%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against MIA.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 What happened to Justin Jefferson? Why Vikings WR is not playing today vs Dolphins
GNEWS · 3h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥What happened to Justin Jefferson? Why Vikings WR is not playing today vs Dolphins
MIAMINgnews · 3h ago
🔥Dolphins vs. Vikings inactive players: Justin Jefferson, Caleb Douglas headline unavailable players
MIAMINyahoo · 3h ago

This is the live market page for Justin Jefferson of the Cleveland Browns — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Justin Jefferson — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS MIA
48
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds50.96from 48.52 · 15 games
vs MIA pass D #18 +1.2%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 24 pts (house engine, v2) +3.2%big favourite by the house 8.4 -3%the machine · 2 graded +1.7%his over rate L10 0% at 109.5 (2 graded)
Receptions4.34from 4.13 · 15 games
vs MIA pass D #18 +1.2%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 24 pts (house engine, v2) +3.2%big favourite by the house 8.4 -3%the machine · 2 graded +1.7%his over rate L10 0% at 7.5 (2 graded)
Anytime Td0.29from 0.26 · 15 games
vs MIA red-zone D #28 +8.9%turf7 days restdomeimplied 24 pts (house engine, v2) +3.2%big favourite by the house 8.4 -3%the machine · 2 graded +1.7%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Justin Jefferson · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0%
Receiving Yards 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Justin Jefferson — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 0/10 overs (0%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 10.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 32
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 4.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 55
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Justin Jefferson — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · WR
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRecRec ydsRec TD
W18922
W23550
W32320
Total131792
Per game4.359.70.7
Median3550
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 vs MIA · Sun Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET
What MIA gave up to WRs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1110.33catches/g to WRs
#8120.33rec yds/g to WRs
#50.33rec TD/g to WRs
#18231pass yds allowed/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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Justin Jefferson — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

Justin Jefferson saw 142 targets and caught 84 (59.2%) for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns. 43% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left13861.5%1570
Deep middle5360%1100
Deep right18211.1%430
Short left372259.5%2130
Short middle231982.6%2531
Short right453066.7%2721

Snap counts

Justin Jefferson played 941 offensive snaps across 17 games in 2025 — 55.4 per game, 94.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.