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🏈 NFL
Josh Allen

Josh Allen Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#17 · QB · 6' 5" · 237 lbs · age 30 · Wyoming · 9 yr vet
Buffalo Bills checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefJosh Allen · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills (#17 · QB · 6' 5" · 237 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Josh Allen has cleared his number in 0 of his last 6 graded props on this board, with 204, 0, 22, 2, 2 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 36 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 239 pass yds, moved from a base of 243.04 by vs NE pass D #6 (-8.1%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against NE.

We project 40.52 rush yds, moved from a base of 36.2 by vs NE run D #17 (+0.4%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against NE.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Bills news: What to know ahead of Week 4 vs. Patriots
YAHOO · 7h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Bills news: What to know ahead of Week 4 vs. Patriots
BUFNEyahoo · 7h ago

This is the live market page for Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Josh Allen — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS NE
36
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds239from 243.04 · 15 games
vs NE pass D #6 -8.1%turf7 days restwind today · 17 mph -4%implied 26.9 pts (house engine, v2) +9.2%the machine · 1 graded +2.1%his over rate L10 100% at 149.5 (1 graded)
Rush Yds40.52from 36.2 · 15 games
vs NE run D #17 +0.4%turf7 days restwind today · 17 mphimplied 26.9 pts (house engine, v2) +9.2%the machine · 1 graded +2.1%his over rate L10 100% at 19.5 (1 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Josh Allen · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 1 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Josh Allen — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 4/6 overs (67%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 2
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 22
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 204
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Josh Allen — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TD
W13342232
W22483692
W32040222
Total78651146
Per game2621.7382
Median2482232
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 vs NE · Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
What NE gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#6189.67pass yds/g to QBs
#151.33pass TD/g to QBs
#1715.67rush yds/g to QBs
#182.33sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS1550761%229.0200
TURF41130863%238.2730
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS1510839.05.413
TURF4126037.05.840
+4% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
-5% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Josh Allen — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Josh Allen threw 584 passes in 2025, completing 63.7% for 4224 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left411946.3%4593
Deep middle231460.9%3732
Deep right391128.2%2872
Short left15811975.3%110910
Short middle886573.9%6552
Short right18414478.3%134110

Run gaps

Josh Allen carried 115 times for 700 yards (6.09 per carry) and 16 touchdowns, with a 67.8% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end131199.151
Left tackle14896.360
Left guard21763.625
Up the middle292498.594
Right guard8394.881
Right tackle12352.922
Right end14936.643

Snap counts

Josh Allen played 1175 offensive snaps across 19 games in 2025 — 61.8 per game, 93% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.