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🏈 NFL
Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#5 · QB · 6' 4" · 210 lbs · age 25 · LSU · 3 yr vet
Washington Commanders checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefJayden Daniels · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders (#5 · QB · 6' 4" · 210 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Jayden Daniels has cleared his number in 0 of his last 6 graded props on this board, with 96, 1, 69, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 75 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 205.37 pass yds, moved from a base of 182.76 by vs IND pass D #30 (+10.5%), 7 days rest, clear at kickoff, at home against IND.

We project 48.3 rush yds, moved from a base of 43.29 by vs IND run D #29 (+9.7%), 7 days rest, clear at kickoff, at home against IND.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Dan Quinn: The goal is to have Jayden Daniels start vs the Giants
YAHOO · 1h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Dan Quinn: The goal is to have Jayden Daniels start vs the Giants
NYGyahoo · 1h ago
📈Jayden Daniels: Aiming to return for Week 5
rotowire · 2h ago
🚑[Rapoport] Commanders QB Marcus Mariota aggravated his MCL injury and now will have tests, per Molly McGrath. Expect him to miss some time. That said, there is hope that QB Jayden Daniels (elbow) is b
WSHreddit · 4h ago
🚑Marcus Mariota hurts right knee, will not return; Commanders turn to rookie Athan Kaliakmanis
WSHcbs · 5h ago
🚑Marcus Mariota hurts right knee, questionable to return; Commanders turn to rookie Athan Kaliakmanis
WSHcbs · 6h ago
🚑When is Jayden Daniels coming back? Injury update, return timeline for Commanders QB
WSHgnews · 6h ago

This is the live market page for Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Jayden Daniels — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS IND
75
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds205.37from 182.76 · 9 games
vs IND pass D #30 +10.5%7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 22.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +0.6%the machine · 1 graded +1.2%his over rate L10 0% at 124.5 (1 graded)
Rush Yds48.3from 43.29 · 9 games
vs IND run D #29 +9.7%7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 22.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +0.6%the machine · 1 graded +1.2%his over rate L10 100% at 35.5 (1 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Jayden Daniels · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 1 0%0%0%0%
Passing Touchdowns 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Jayden Daniels — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 2/6 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 35.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 69
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 124.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 96
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Jayden Daniels — 2026 GAME LOG · 2 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush yds
W1164231
W296169
Total2603100
Per game1301.550
Median1301.550
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
What NYG gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#16227.67pass yds/g to QBs
#282.33pass TD/g to QBs
#26rush yds/g to QBs
#310.33sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS2068460%216.3300
TURF922162%176.3110
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS2016552.26.37
TURF97042.85.52
-18% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
-18% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Jayden Daniels — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Jayden Daniels threw 204 passes in 2025, completing 55.9% for 1262 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left11545.5%1302
Deep middle2150%500
Deep right18950%2420
Short left583763.8%3282
Short middle301963.3%1872
Short right674364.2%3252

Run gaps

Jayden Daniels carried 54 times for 283 yards (5.24 per carry) and 2 touchdowns, with a 51.9% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end5214.20
Left tackle382.671
Left guard4143.51
Up the middle16955.940
Right guard1770
Right tackle3227.330
Right end201165.80

Snap counts

Jayden Daniels played 405 offensive snaps across 7 games in 2025 — 57.9 per game, 90.3% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.