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🏈 NFL
Geno Smith

Geno Smith Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#7 · QB · 6' 2" · 221 lbs · age 35 · West Virginia · 14 yr vet
New York Jets checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefGeno Smith · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Geno Smith of the New York Jets (#7 · QB · 6' 2" · 221 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Geno Smith has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 247, 1, 17, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 45 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 188.09 pass yds, moved from a base of 212.08 by vs CHI pass D #13 (-2.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CHI.

We project 19.68 rush yds, moved from a base of 21.01 by vs CHI run D #20 (+2.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at CHI.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Geno Smith of the New York Jets — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Geno Smith — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CHI
45
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds188.09from 212.08 · 15 games
vs CHI pass D #13 -2.7%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 19.4 pts (house engine, v2) -7.1%the machine · 2 graded +0.1%his over rate L10 100% at 137 (2 graded)
Rush Yds19.68from 21.01 · 15 games
vs CHI run D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 19.4 pts (house engine, v2) -7.1%the machine · 2 graded +0.1%his over rate L10 100% at 10.5 (2 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Geno Smith · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 2 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 2 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 2 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Geno Smith — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 6/12 overs (50%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 11.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 12
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 3
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 321
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 9.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 17
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 124.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 247
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Geno Smith — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush yds
W121507
W2247117
W3321312
Total783436
Per game2611.312
Median247112
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 @ CHI · Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
What CHI gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#13219pass yds/g to QBs
#81pass TD/g to QBs
#2221.67rush yds/g to QBs
#132.33sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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Geno Smith — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Geno Smith threw 503 passes in 2025, completing 60% for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left24729.2%2081
Deep middle9333.3%1111
Deep right341441.2%3681
Short left14711074.8%9394
Short middle805872.5%6276
Short right15211072.4%7726

Run gaps

Geno Smith carried 35 times for 115 yards (3.29 per carry) and 0 touchdowns, with a 45.7% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end252.50
Left tackle4297.250
Left guard5122.40
Up the middle14231.640
Right guard1440
Right tackle2-1-0.50
Right end6437.170

Snap counts

Geno Smith played 863 offensive snaps across 15 games in 2025 — 57.5 per game, 96.5% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.