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🏈 NFL
Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#23 · RB · 5' 11" · 210 lbs · age 30 · Stanford · 10 yr vet
San Francisco 49ers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
✦AI BriefLive read on Christian McCaffreyRead it ▾Christian McCaffrey has gone over his number in 11 of his last 30 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Christian McCaffrey of the San Francisco 49ers (#23 · RB · 5' 11" · 210 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Christian McCaffrey has gone over his number in 11 of his last 30 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 38 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 49.46 rush yds, moved from a base of 51.24 by vs ATL run D #4 (-9.7%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

We project 0.57 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.59 by vs ATL run D #4 (-9.7%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

We project 4.86 receptions, moved from a base of 4.07 by vs ATL pass D #29 (+9.7%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

We project 40.91 reception yds, moved from a base of 34.22 by vs ATL pass D #29 (+9.7%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Christian McCaffrey of the San Francisco 49ers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Christian McCaffrey — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT ATL
38
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds49.46from 51.24 · 6 games
vs ATL run D #4 -9.7%on the road -2%turf6 days restdomeimplied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%his over rate L10 20% at 83.5 (5 graded)
Rush Tds0.57from 0.59 · 6 games
vs ATL run D #4 -9.7%on the road -2%turf6 days restdomeimplied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%
Receptions4.86from 4.07 · 6 games
vs ATL pass D #29 +9.7%on the road -2%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%his over rate L10 40% at 5.9 (5 graded)
Reception Yds40.91from 34.22 · 6 games
vs ATL pass D #29 +9.7%on the road -2%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%his over rate L10 20% at 74.5 (5 graded)
Total Tds0.66from 0.63 · 6 games
vs ATL red-zone D #15 -1.2%on the road -2%turf6 days restdomeimplied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%
Anytime Td0.43from 0.41 · 6 games
vs ATL red-zone D #15 -1.2%on the road -2%turf6 days restdomeimplied 25.8 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +7%the machine · 5 graded +1.9%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Christian McCaffrey · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 20%20%20%20%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Christian McCaffrey — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 11/30 overs (37%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-19
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-19
OVER
final: 2
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-19
OVER
final: 9
player_receiving_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-19
UNDER
final: 53
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-19
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-19
UNDER
final: 64
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 3.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 24.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 15
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 68
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Christian McCaffrey — 2026 GAME LOG · 6 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W1680520
W2232443
W3751441
W4521318
W5681315
W6642953
Total350728190
Per game58.31.24.731.7
Median661430.5
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ ATL · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What ATL gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#777.33rush yds/g to RBs
#270.83rush TD/g to RBs
#285.33catches/g to RBs
#1330.17rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3456073.24.426
TURF1016667.64.14
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS3422017243.678%11
TURF10645247.581%6
-8% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+9% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Christian McCaffrey — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Christian McCaffrey carried 77 times for 350 yards (4.55 per carry) and 7 touchdowns, with a 51.9% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end8465.750
Left tackle8435.381
Left guard12473.922
Up the middle261144.383
Right guard13493.771
Right tackle5265.20
Right end52550

Target zones

Christian McCaffrey saw 35 targets and caught 28 (80%) for 190 yards and 0 touchdowns. 83.2% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left14964.3%660
Short middle8675%530
Short right1313100%710

Snap counts

Christian McCaffrey played 259 offensive snaps across 6 games in 2026 — 43.2 per game, 71.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.