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🏈 NFL
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#7 · QB · 6' 3" · 218 lbs · age 25 · Ohio State · 4 yr vet
Houston Texans checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
AI BriefC.J. Stroud · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans (#7 · QB · 6' 3" · 218 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

C.J. Stroud has gone over his number in 7 of his last 18 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 31 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 227.93 pass yds, moved from a base of 250.64 by vs TEN pass D #11 (-4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at TEN.

We project 30.88 rush yds, moved from a base of 30.73 by vs TEN run D #24 (+5.8%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at TEN.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 C.J. Stroud — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT TEN
31
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds227.93from 250.64 · 4 games
vs TEN pass D #11 -4.3%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.1 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -3.2%the machine · 3 graded +0.1%his over rate L10 100% at 141.2 (3 graded)
Rush Yds30.88from 30.73 · 4 games
vs TEN run D #24 +5.8%on the road -2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.1 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -3.2%the machine · 3 graded +0.1%his over rate L10 67% at 10.8 (3 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 C.J. Stroud · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 3 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 C.J. Stroud — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/18 overs (39%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 12
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 2
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 347
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 10.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 10
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 167
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 C.J. Stroud — 2026 GAME LOG · 4 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush yds
W1274215
W2353029
W3167110
W4347212
Total1141566
Per game285.31.316.5
Median310.51.513.5
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 @ TEN · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
What TEN gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#11220.5pass yds/g to QBs
#61pass TD/g to QBs
#2419.75rush yds/g to QBs
#172sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS1237159%196.9130
TURF42146359%249.2580
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS122715.87.01
TURF4210613.95.53
+27% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
-12% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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C.J. Stroud — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

C.J. Stroud threw 531 passes in 2025, completing 59.1% for 3503 yards, 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left341338.2%4222
Deep middle12541.7%1881
Deep right381026.3%2602
Short left15310669.3%8554
Short middle835566.3%7405
Short right17912569.8%10387

Run gaps

C.J. Stroud carried 41 times for 225 yards (5.49 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 61% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end5285.60
Left tackle1220
Up the middle12524.330
Right guard23115.50
Right end171126.591

Snap counts

C.J. Stroud played 1011 offensive snaps across 16 games in 2025 — 63.2 per game, 92.3% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.