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🏈 NFL
AJ Dillon

AJ Dillon Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#28 · RB · 6' 0" · 247 lbs · age 28 · Boston College · 7 yr vet
Carolina Panthers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
✦AI BriefLive read on AJ DillonRead it ▾AJ Dillon has gone over his number in 0 of his last 11 settled props on this board.6 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

AJ Dillon of the Carolina Panthers (#28 · RB · 6' 0" · 247 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

AJ Dillon has gone over his number in 0 of his last 11 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 30 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 25.1 rush yds, moved from a base of 27.41 by vs TB run D #2 (-11.2%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against TB.

We project 0.23 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.24 by vs TB red-zone D #10 (-5%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against TB.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for AJ Dillon of the Carolina Panthers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 AJ Dillon — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS TB
30
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds25.1from 27.41 · 4 games
vs TB run D #2 -11.2%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 24 pts (house engine, v2) +3.2%the machine · 2 graded -0.1%his over rate L10 0% at 16 (2 graded)
Anytime Td0.23from 0.24 · 4 games
vs TB red-zone D #10 -5%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 24 pts (house engine, v2) +3.2%the machine · 2 graded -0.1%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 AJ Dillon · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 3 0%0%0%0%
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 AJ Dillon — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 0/11 overs (0%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 12.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 16
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 AJ Dillon — 2026 GAME LOG · 4 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRecRec yds
W12800
W2-300
W3161-2
W4215
Total4323
Per game10.80.50.8
Median90.50
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 vs TB · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What TB gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#365rush yds/g to RBs
#20.33rush TD/g to RBs
#295.33catches/g to RBs
#2235.83rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS31415.33.30
thin sample on one surface
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

AJ Dillon — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

AJ Dillon carried 17 times for 43 yards (2.53 per carry) and 0 touchdowns, with a 23.5% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end351.670
Left tackle4235.750
Left guard3310
Up the middle5132.60
Right guard1330
Right end1-4-40

Snap counts

AJ Dillon played 34 offensive snaps across 4 games in 2026 — 8.5 per game, 11.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.