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⚾ MLB
Chandler Simpson

Chandler Simpson Player Props & DFS Value

#14 · LF · 5' 11" · 170 lbs · age 25 · 2 yr vet
Tampa Bay Rays checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefChandler Simpson · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Chandler Simpson of the Tampa Bay Rays (#14 · LF · 5' 11" · 170 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Chandler Simpson has gone over his number in 46 of his last 158 settled props on this board.

We project 0.86 bases, moved from a base of 1.08 by vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 (-10%), on the road · 0.690 OPS (+0.2%), day game · 0.678 OPS (-1.6%), on the road at CLE.

We project 0.62 hits, moved from a base of 0.78 by vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 (-10%), on the road · 0.690 OPS (+0.2%), day game · 0.678 OPS (-1.6%), on the road at CLE.

We project 0.09 doubles, moved from a base of 0.11 by vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 (-10%), on the road · 0.690 OPS (+0.2%), day game · 0.678 OPS (-1.6%), on the road at CLE.

We project 0.01 triples, moved from a base of 0.02 by vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 (-10%), on the road · 0.690 OPS (+0.2%), day game · 0.678 OPS (-1.6%), on the road at CLE.

We project 0.51 singles, moved from a base of 0.64 by vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 (-10%), on the road · 0.690 OPS (+0.2%), day game · 0.678 OPS (-1.6%), on the road at CLE.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Chandler Simpson of the Tampa Bay Rays — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Chandler Simpson — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT CLE
Bases0.86from 1.08 · 18 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Hits0.62from 0.78 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Doubles0.09from 0.11 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Triples0.01from 0.02 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Singles0.51from 0.64 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Runs0.33from 0.41 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Rbis0.33from 0.41 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Stolen Bases0.07from 0.09 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -2%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -2.7%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
Home Runs0.06from 0.08 · 17 games
vs Parker Messick · 2.56 ERA, 9.3 K/9 -10%on the road · 0.690 OPS +0.2%day game · 0.678 OPS -1.6%vs Parker Messick career · 3-11 -6%house engine 4.3 runs projected for TB -1.1%park · CLE -4%air tonight · wind holds 7 mph -8.3%day gamethe machine · 17 graded +1.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Chandler Simpson · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Bases 18 20%20%33%33%
Hits 17 80%60%71%71% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Doubles 17 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Triples 17 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Singles 17 80%60%71%71% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Runs 17 20%30%47%47% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Chandler Simpson — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 46/158 overs (29%)
hits_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
rbis_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
home_runs · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
stolen_bases · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
rbis · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
runs · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
singles · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
triples · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
doubles · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
hits · line 0.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
bases · line 1.5
2026-09-25
UNDER
final: 0
hits_in_play · line 0.5
2026-09-24
OVER
final: 1
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
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💬 From the forum · MLBJoin the room →
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