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⚖️ The Truth Machine · what your parlay is really worth

The books love your parlay. Here’s exactly how much.

Enter the legs of any ticket. The machine strips the vig, computes the fair price, shows what the book is keeping — and what the same money would do as singles. Every league, every book, all math on your phone.
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Hold per leg = the margin baked into each price (a standard -110/-110 market holds ~4.5%). The machine removes it to find each leg's true probability.
What this tool does — and why it matters

Every sportsbook builds a margin into every price — and a parlay pays that margin on every leg at once. The Truth Machine is a vig X-ray: it strips the margin out of each leg, rebuilds the ticket at its fair price, and shows the gap in plain dollars.

  • Fair price, exposed. Each leg’s true probability is recovered by removing the book’s hold, then multiplied across the ticket — the price the parlay should pay.
  • The keep bar. One glance shows your share of fair value versus the slice the book keeps — the number they never print on the slip.
  • Expected value in dollars. Not theory — the actual long-run cost or profit of this exact ticket at your stake.
  • The singles mirror. The same legs, the same money, bet separately — and the exact dollar difference over the long run. Parlays buy a lottery shape; this shows the ticket price.
  • Adjustable hold. Sharp books hold less, promos hold more — set the margin per leg and the machine recalculates everything.
  • Every league, every book, forever. Pure math, computed on your phone. Nothing is sent anywhere, nothing expires, nothing needs a login.
⭐ Unlock the whole house — $9.99/mo
Every tool, every board, unlimited. Plus the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Guide free and early access to new tools. Founder pricing for early members.
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