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🏈 NFL
Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#9 · RB · 5' 9" · 211 lbs · age 25 · Michigan State · 5 yr vet
Kansas City Chiefs checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefKenneth Walker III · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Kenneth Walker III of the Kansas City Chiefs (#9 · RB · 5' 9" · 211 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Kenneth Walker III has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 117, 0, 61, 6, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 53 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 71.65 rush yds, moved from a base of 68.67 by vs LV run D #19 (+1.9%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at LV.

We project 27.43 reception yds, moved from a base of 26.58 by vs LV pass D #15 (-1.2%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at LV.

We project 0.32 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.3 by vs LV red-zone D #22 (+4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at LV.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Kenneth Walker III of the Kansas City Chiefs — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Kenneth Walker III — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT LV
53
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds71.65from 68.67 · 15 games
vs LV run D #19 +1.9%on the road -2%grass7 days restdomeimplied 24.2 pts (house engine, v2) +3.7%the machine · 2 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 50% at 109.5 (2 graded)
Reception Yds27.43from 26.58 · 15 games
vs LV pass D #15 -1.2%on the road -2%grass7 days restdome +2%implied 24.2 pts (house engine, v2) +3.7%the machine · 2 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 50% at 19 (2 graded)
Anytime Td0.32from 0.3 · 15 games
vs LV red-zone D #22 +4.3%on the road -2%grass7 days restdomeimplied 24.2 pts (house engine, v2) +3.7%the machine · 2 graded +0.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Kenneth Walker III · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 2 50%50%50%50%
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 2 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Kenneth Walker III — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 6/12 overs (50%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 2
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 3
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 70
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 2.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 6
player_receiving_yards · line 18.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 61
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 117
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Kenneth Walker III — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
W117313181
W211706610
W3701231
Total360211822
Per game1200.73.727.30.7
Median11713181
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 @ LV · Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
What LV gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1488.33rush yds/g to RBs
#130.33rush TD/g to RBs
#114catches/g to RBs
#1329.67rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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Kenneth Walker III — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Kenneth Walker III carried 286 times for 1340 yards (4.69 per carry) and 9 touchdowns, with a 38.5% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end472735.813
Left tackle311193.842
Left guard351153.290
Up the middle602093.480
Right guard393047.791
Right tackle271174.331
Right end472034.322

Target zones

Kenneth Walker III saw 47 targets and caught 40 (85.1%) for 386 yards and 0 touchdowns. 114.2% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left201785%1900
Short middle8675%730
Short right191789.5%1230

Snap counts

Kenneth Walker III played 620 offensive snaps across 20 games in 2025 — 31 per game, 49.4% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.