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🏈 NFL
Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#34 · RB · 5' 8" · 191 lbs · age 24 · East Carolina · 4 yr vet
Los Angeles Chargers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefKeaton Mitchell · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Keaton Mitchell of the Los Angeles Chargers (#34 · RB · 5' 8" · 191 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Keaton Mitchell has cleared his number in 0 of his last 8 graded props on this board, with 24, 0, 0, 0, 52 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 45 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 26.21 rush yds, moved from a base of 29.8 by vs SEA run D #6 (-8.1%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

We project 13.89 reception yds, moved from a base of 16.49 by vs SEA pass D #1 (-12%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

We project 0.26 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.26 by vs SEA red-zone D #24 (+5.8%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Keaton Mitchell of the Los Angeles Chargers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Keaton Mitchell — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT SEA
45
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds26.21from 29.8 · 15 games
vs SEA run D #6 -8.1%on the road -2%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.4 pts (house engine, v2) -2.4%the machine · 2 graded +0.1%his over rate L10 100% at 19.5 (2 graded)
Reception Yds13.89from 16.49 · 15 games
vs SEA pass D #1 -12%on the road -2%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.4 pts (house engine, v2) -2.4%the machine · 2 graded +0.1%
Anytime Td0.26from 0.26 · 15 games
vs SEA red-zone D #24 +5.8%on the road -2%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.4 pts (house engine, v2) -2.4%the machine · 2 graded +0.1%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Keaton Mitchell · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 2 100%100%100%100%
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Keaton Mitchell — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 3/8 overs (38%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 52
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 24
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Keaton Mitchell — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRecRec ydsRec TD
W19000
W2241150
W3523-51
Total854101
Per game28.31.33.30.3
Median24100
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 @ SEA · Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
What SEA gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#565.33rush yds/g to RBs
#70rush TD/g to RBs
#234.67catches/g to RBs
#1430.33rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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Keaton Mitchell — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Keaton Mitchell carried 59 times for 341 yards (5.78 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 35.6% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end1212110.080
Left tackle3237.670
Left guard7547.710
Up the middle41230
Right guard7182.570
Right tackle8283.50
Right end18854.721

Target zones

Keaton Mitchell saw 12 targets and caught 9 (75%) for 63 yards and 0 touchdowns. 134.9% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left5360%210
Short middle22100%70
Short right5480%350

Snap counts

Keaton Mitchell played 132 offensive snaps across 13 games in 2025 — 10.2 per game, 17.5% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.