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🏈 NFL
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#18 · QB · 6' 1" · 226 lbs · age 24 · USC · 3 yr vet
Chicago Bears checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefCaleb Williams · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears (#18 · QB · 6' 1" · 226 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Caleb Williams has cleared his number in 0 of his last 6 graded props on this board, with 138, 0, 42, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 31 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 198.44 pass yds, moved from a base of 212.08 by vs NYJ pass D #4 (-9.7%), grass, 6 days rest, at home against NYJ.

We project 34.16 rush yds, moved from a base of 35.59 by vs NYJ run D #7 (-7.4%), grass, 6 days rest, at home against NYJ.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🚑 Is Caleb Williams Playing Today? (Injury Update, Betting Impact for Jets vs. Bears in NFL Week 4)
GNEWS · 7h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🚑Is Caleb Williams Playing Today? (Injury Update, Betting Impact for Jets vs. Bears in NFL Week 4)
CHINYJgnews · 7h ago

This is the live market page for Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Caleb Williams — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS NYJ
31
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds198.44from 212.08 · 14 games
vs NYJ pass D #4 -9.7%grass6 days restclear at kickoffimplied 24.4 pts (house engine, v2) +4.1%the machine · 1 graded -0.5%his over rate L10 0% at 149.5 (1 graded)
Rush Yds34.16from 35.59 · 14 games
vs NYJ run D #7 -7.4%grass6 days restclear at kickoffimplied 24.4 pts (house engine, v2) +4.1%the machine · 1 graded -0.5%his over rate L10 100% at 19.5 (1 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Caleb Williams · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 1 0%0%0%0%
Passing Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Caleb Williams — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 1/6 overs (17%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 42
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 138
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Caleb Williams — 2026 GAME LOG · 2 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TD
W12692652
W21380420
Total40721072
Per game203.5153.51
Median203.5153.51
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 4 vs NYJ · Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
What NYJ gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#4184.67pass yds/g to QBs
#161.67pass TD/g to QBs
#59.67rush yds/g to QBs
#92.67sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS31109956%220.8420
TURF728353%237.7110
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3113827.66.25
TURF72728.77.40
+8% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
+4% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Caleb Williams — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Caleb Williams threw 686 passes in 2025, completing 55% for 4560 yards, 31 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left491938.8%5134
Deep middle402357.5%6135
Deep right701927.1%4973
Short left1559963.9%10535
Short middle1097165.1%6139
Short right23314662.7%12715

Run gaps

Caleb Williams carried 75 times for 455 yards (6.07 per carry) and 3 touchdowns, with a 57.3% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end241636.792
Left tackle4389.50
Left guard31860
Up the middle12504.170
Right guard294.50
Right tackle448120
Right end201356.751

Snap counts

Caleb Williams played 1302 offensive snaps across 35 games in 2025 — 37.2 per game, 53.8% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.