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🏈 NFL
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#6 · QB · 6' 1" · 215 lbs · age 31 · Oklahoma · 9 yr vet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
AI BriefBaker Mayfield · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Baker Mayfield of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (#6 · QB · 6' 1" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Baker Mayfield has cleared his number in 0 of his last 12 graded props on this board, with 182, 1, 29, 0, 0 in his most recent games.

Tonight's spot grades 43 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 189.2 pass yds, moved from a base of 200.53 by vs GB pass D #12 (-3.5%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against GB.

We project 27.03 rush yds, moved from a base of 25.39 by vs GB run D #28 (+8.9%), grass, 7 days rest, at home against GB.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Packers lead Bucs 10-7 at halftime after Jalon Daniels' second INT
PFT · 4h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Packers lead Bucs 10-7 at halftime after Jalon Daniels' second INT
GBpft · 4h ago
🔥Buccaneers vs. Packers: Inactives for Week 4
GBTByahoo · 6h ago
🚑Baker Mayfield Injury Opens Door for Undrafted Rookie to Make NFL History
gnews · 6h ago

This is the live market page for Baker Mayfield of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Baker Mayfield — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS GB
43
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds189.2from 200.53 · 15 games
vs GB pass D #12 -3.5%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.6 pts (house engine, v2) -2.1%the machine · 2 graded -0.1%his over rate L10 100% at 149.5 (2 graded)
Rush Yds27.03from 25.39 · 15 games
vs GB run D #28 +8.9%grass7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 21.6 pts (house engine, v2) -2.1%the machine · 2 graded -0.1%his over rate L10 50% at 14.5 (2 graded)
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Baker Mayfield · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 2 100%100%100%100%
Passing Touchdowns 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Baker Mayfield — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 4/12 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 6
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 124.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 217
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 29
passing_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 174.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 182
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Baker Mayfield — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · QB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TD
W12160301
W21821290
W3217160
Total6152651
Per game2050.721.70.3
Median2161290
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 @ DAL · Thu Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET
What DAL gave up to QBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#9207.67pass yds/g to QBs
#292.33pass TD/g to QBs
#3260.33rush yds/g to QBs
#300.67sacks/g
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Source: nflverse weekly stats, banked by fdnfllog.php · rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS35125861%247.1640
TURF2069261%229.3380
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS358816.56.61
TURF206523.57.25
-7% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
+43% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
nflverse play-by-play, every play bucketed by surface · ESPN no longer publishes this · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Baker Mayfield — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Baker Mayfield threw 584 passes in 2025, completing 58.7% for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left451737.8%5162
Deep middle17635.3%1783
Deep right491734.7%4224
Short left17112673.7%8926
Short middle906268.9%6503
Short right17011567.6%10358

Run gaps

Baker Mayfield carried 47 times for 391 yards (8.32 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 66% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end55210.40
Left tackle1330
Left guard22914.50
Up the middle181538.50
Right tackle6355.830
Right end131199.151

Snap counts

Baker Mayfield played 1099 offensive snaps across 17 games in 2025 — 64.6 per game, 97.1% of his team's offensive snaps.

Source: play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.