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🏈 NFL
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#41 · RB · 5' 10" · 215 lbs · age 31 · Tennessee · 10 yr vet
New Orleans Saints checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefAlvin Kamara · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints (#41 · RB · 5' 10" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Alvin Kamara has gone over his number in 7 of his last 18 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 41 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 35.53 rush yds, moved from a base of 40.26 by vs MIN run D #6 (-8.1%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against MIN.

We project 3.29 receptions, moved from a base of 3.53 by vs MIN pass D #10 (-5%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against MIN.

We project 22.22 reception yds, moved from a base of 23.88 by vs MIN pass D #10 (-5%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against MIN.

We project 0.22 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.26 by vs MIN red-zone D #1 (-12%), turf, 6 days rest, at home against MIN.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Alvin Kamara will soon become the sixth NFL player with 5,000 yards rushing and receiving
PFT · 10h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Alvin Kamara will soon become the sixth NFL player with 5,000 yards rushing and receiving
pft · 10h ago
🚑Chris Olave set to play, Alvin Kamara questionable for Saints
NOpft · 1d ago

This is the live market page for Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Alvin Kamara — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS MIN
41
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds35.53from 40.26 · 14 games
vs MIN run D #6 -8.1%turf6 days restdomeimplied 20.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4.5%the machine · 3 graded +0.6%his over rate L10 67% at 47.5 (3 graded)
Receptions3.29from 3.53 · 14 games
vs MIN pass D #10 -5%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 20.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4.5%the machine · 3 graded +0.6%his over rate L10 67% at 1.5 (3 graded)
Reception Yds22.22from 23.88 · 14 games
vs MIN pass D #10 -5%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 20.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4.5%the machine · 3 graded +0.6%his over rate L10 33% at 12.5 (3 graded)
Anytime Td0.22from 0.26 · 14 games
vs MIN red-zone D #1 -12%turf6 days restdomeimplied 20.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) -4.5%the machine · 3 graded +0.6%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Alvin Kamara · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 3 67%67%67%67%
Last Touchdown Scorer 3 33%33%33%33% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 3 33%33%33%33% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 3 33%33%33%33% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Alvin Kamara — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/18 overs (39%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 2
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 5
player_receiving_yards · line 13.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 35
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-05
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-05
UNDER
final: 23
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
player_receiving_yards · line 13.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 5
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 19.5
2026-09-27
OVER
final: 36
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Alvin Kamara — 2026 GAME LOG · 3 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W215057
W336015
W4232535
Total7421147
Per game24.70.73.715.7
Median23057
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 5 vs MIN · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
What MIN gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#876.75rush yds/g to RBs
#30.25rush TD/g to RBs
#53.25catches/g to RBs
#822.75rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS69258.73.80
TURF3547452.63.914
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS6312524.081%0
TURF3519816231.482%3
-10% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+31% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Alvin Kamara — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Alvin Kamara carried 131 times for 471 yards (3.6 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 32.1% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end14926.570
Left tackle72130
Left guard25652.60
Up the middle401223.050
Right guard261104.231
Right tackle14271.930
Right end5346.80

Target zones

Alvin Kamara saw 39 targets and caught 33 (84.6%) for 186 yards and 0 touchdowns. 108.6% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep right100%00
Short left131292.3%530
Short middle11981.8%770
Short right141285.7%560

Snap counts

Alvin Kamara played 457 offensive snaps across 11 games in 2025 — 41.5 per game, 63.7% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.