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🏈 NFL
A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#1 · WR · 6' 1" · 226 lbs · age 29 · Ole Miss · 8 yr vet
New England Patriots checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefA.J. Brown · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

A.J. Brown of the New England Patriots (#1 · WR · 6' 1" · 226 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Tonight's spot grades 42 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 56.28 reception yds, moved from a base of 56.78 by vs LV pass D #12 (-3.5%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against LV.

We project 4.41 receptions, moved from a base of 4.45 by vs LV pass D #12 (-3.5%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against LV.

We project 0.33 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.3 by vs LV red-zone D #27 (+8.1%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against LV.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for A.J. Brown of the New England Patriots — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 A.J. Brown — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS LV
42
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds56.28from 56.78 · 12 games
vs LV pass D #12 -3.5%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 23.7 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +2.7%
Receptions4.41from 4.45 · 12 games
vs LV pass D #12 -3.5%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 23.7 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +2.7%
Anytime Td0.33from 0.3 · 12 games
vs LV red-zone D #27 +8.1%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 23.7 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +2.7%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

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A.J. Brown — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

A.J. Brown saw 128 targets and caught 81 (63.3%) for 1028 yards and 7 touchdowns. 26.1% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left15533.3%1592
Deep middle9555.6%1043
Deep right13538.5%1350
Short left443170.5%2980
Short middle13969.2%1080
Short right342676.5%2242

Snap counts

A.J. Brown played 916 offensive snaps across 16 games in 2025 — 57.3 per game, 91.3% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.