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⚾ MLB
Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams Player Props & DFS Value

#32 · SP · 6' 6" · 250 lbs · age 27 · East Carolina · 4 yr vet
Cleveland Guardians checking status… ⚖️ Compare
AI BriefGavin Williams · the numbers, the matchup and the wire▾

Gavin Williams of the Cleveland Guardians (#32 · SP · 6' 6" · 250 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Gavin Williams has gone over his number in 7 of his last 11 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 71 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 9.2 strikeouts, moved from a base of 8.31 by vs CWS lineup · 24% K rate (+5.9%), at home · 12.5 K/9 (+4.3%), day game, at home against CWS.

We project 3.67 hits allowed, moved from a base of 3.69 by vs CWS lineup · 0.726 OPS (+1.2%), park · CLE (-2%), day game, at home against CWS.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Guardians' Gavin Williams joining extremely rare playoff company with pivotal ALDS Game 5 start vs. White Sox
CBS · 5h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Guardians' Gavin Williams joining extremely rare playoff company with pivotal ALDS Game 5 start vs. White Sox
CWSCLEcbs · 5h ago
🔥Guardians ace Gavin Williams to start vs Sean Burke and White Sox in winner-take-all ALDS Game 5
CWSCLEyahoo · 20h ago
🔥Gavin Williams: Confirmed for Game 5 start
rotowire · 1d ago

This is the live market page for Gavin Williams of the Cleveland Guardians — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Gavin Williams — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS CWS
71
Mound Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — his line, the lineup he faces, the park and the travel.
Strikeouts9.2from 8.31 · 5 games
vs CWS lineup · 24% K rate +5.9%at home · 12.5 K/9 +4.3%day gamethe machine · 4 graded +0.2%
Hits Allowed3.67from 3.69 · 5 games
vs CWS lineup · 0.726 OPS +1.2%park · CLE -2%day gamethe machine · 4 graded +0.2%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Gavin Williams · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Strikeouts 5 80%80%80%80%
Hits Allowed 5 60%60%60%60% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Home Runs 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Gavin Williams — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/11 overs (64%)
pitcher_hits_allowed · line 4.5
2026-09-25
OVER
final: 5
pitcher_strikeouts · line 3.5
2026-09-25
OVER
final: 4
pitcher_hits_allowed · line 3.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 3
pitcher_strikeouts · line 6.5
2026-09-20
OVER
final: 9
pitcher_hits_allowed · line 3.5
2026-09-14
OVER
final: 4
pitcher_strikeouts · line 10.5
2026-09-14
UNDER
final: 7
pitcher_hits_allowed · line 3.5
2026-09-06
OVER
final: 4
pitcher_strikeouts · line 10.5
2026-09-06
OVER
final: 11
home_runs · line 0.5
2026-09-01
UNDER
final: 0
pitcher_hits_allowed · line 4.5
2026-09-01
UNDER
final: 2
pitcher_strikeouts · line 3.5
2026-09-01
OVER
final: 13
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
📚 Latest reads · MLBAll articles →
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MLB Playoffs and NHL Wednesday: Elimination Games, Pitching Matchups, Props and DFS Plays
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Monday night delivered a little bit of everything across the NFL, MLB and NHL: a nationally televised blowout, two Ameri…
💬 From the forum · MLBJoin the room →
Which MLB lines are hanging above what the guy actually does?
0 replies · Aug 20
Which MLB props are hanging too high?
0 replies · Jul 28
The MLB start sit board is live
0 replies · Jul 27

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